North Carolina vs. N.C. State odds, prediction: 2026 Atlantic Coast Conference men's college basketball picks from proven model

The 16th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack in a key Atlantic Coast Conference matchup on Tuesday. North Carolina is coming off a 79-65 win over Pittsburgh, while N.C. State dropped a 77-76 decision to Miami (Fla.). The Tar Heels (20-5, 8-4 ACC), who are tied for sixth in the conference, are 3-4 on the road this season. The Wolfpack (18-8, 9-4 ACC), who are fifth in the league, are 10-4 on their home court.

Tip-off from Lenova Center in Raleigh, N.C., is set for 7 p.m. ET. North Carolina leads the all-time series 166-81, including a 70-48 mark in games played in Raleigh. N.C. State is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest North Carolina vs. N.C. State odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 158.5. 

Before making any North Carolina vs. N.C. State picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and entered Week 16 on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 13-7 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated North Carolina vs. N.C. State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time!

So who wins North Carolina vs. N.C. State, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!