North Carolina vs. Florida State odds, prediction: 2025 men's college basketball picks from proven model

Conference play in the ACC gets underway on Tuesday as the No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels host the Florida State Seminoles. UNC is coming off a 99-51 victory over East Carolina on Dec. 22, while on that same day, FSU knocked off Jacksonville, 87-63. North Carolina has won six straight matchups versus the Noles.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET from the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, N.C. The Tar Heels are 14.5-point favorites per the latest Florida State vs. North Carolina odds, while the over/under for total points is 161.5.

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Before making any North Carolina vs. Florida State picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and enters Week 7 on a sizzling 7-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Florida State vs. North Carolina 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations!

So who wins North Carolina vs. Florida State, and which side hits in over 50% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Florida State vs. North Carolina spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!

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