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No. 9 Texas vs. Florida odds, line: 2025 college football picks for Week 6 predictions from proven model

SportsLine's model has locked in its best bets for Saturday's game between Arch Manning and the Texas Longhorns vs. the Florida Gators in a Southeastern Conference matchup

ByPublished: Oct 04, 2025 6:07PM UTC . 2 min read

The Florida Gators will look to snap a three-game losing streak when they battle the ninth-ranked Texas Longhorns in a key Southeastern Conference matchup on Saturday. Texas is coming off a 55-0 win over Sam Houston State, while Florida dropped a 26-7 decision at Miami (Fla.) on Sept. 20. The Longhorns (3-1, 0-0 SEC), who are 3-0 against unranked opponents, are 0-1 on the road this season. The Gators (1-3, 0-1 SEC), who are 0-2 against ranked opponents, are 1-1 on their home field in 2025.

Kickoff from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla., is at 3:30 p.m. ET. Texas leads the all-time series 3-0-1, including a 49-17 win in Austin, Texas, last year. The Longhorns are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Florida odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 42.5 via SportsLine consensus.

Before making any Texas vs. Florida picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and is a profitable 37-24 combined on money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of 2024. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen STRONG returns!

The model has simulated Texas vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations!

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Daniel Kohn
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