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No. 4 Duke vs. North Carolina odds, line: Proven college basketball model reveals spread pick for Coach K's final game at Cameron

The SportsLine projection model has a pick for Saturday's ACC battle between the rival Blue Devils and Tar Heels

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 05, 2022 9:10PM UTC . 3 min read

Mike Krzyzewski will coach his final game at storied Cameron Indoor Stadium when he leads the No. 4 Duke Blue Devils against their Tobacco Road rivals, the North Carolina Tar Heels, on Saturday night in Durham, N.C. The winningest coach in college basketball history (with 1,196 career victories), the 75-year-old Krzyzewski is set to retire after the season, his 41st at Duke. 

Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are favored by 11.5 points in the latest Duke vs. North Carolina odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over/Under for total points scored is 152. (See up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page.)

Before making any North Carolina vs. Duke picks, be sure to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $1,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that Duke is one of the best teams in the country at moving and sharing the ball. The Blue Devils lead the ACC and rank eighth in the country in assists per game (17.3). They also lead the conference and rank second in the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.67). As a result of their unselfish play, the Blue Devils have five players averaging double figures in points.

The model also knows that North Carolina's Armando Bacot is on a historic run. The 6-foot-10 junior from Richmond, Va., leads the ACC in field goal percentage (58.5) and rebounding (12.7 per game). He is on pace to become just the eighth player to lead the conference in both categories in the same season, joining such luminaries as Virginia's Ralph Sampson and Wake Forest's Tim Duncan.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. North Carolina. We can tell you it is leaning Under the total, predicting a combined 150 points, and it also says one side of the spread covers in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

Who wins North Carolina vs. Duke? And which side of the spread covers in almost 60 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Duke vs. North Carolina spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!

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