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No. 21 USC vs. No. 23 Illinois odds, line: 2025 college football picks for Week 5 predictions from proven model

SportsLine's model has locked in its best bets for Saturday's game between the USC Trojans and Illinois Fighting Illini in a Big Ten Conference matchup

ByPublished: Sep 27, 2025 2:12PM UTC . 2 min read

The No. 21 USC Trojans will face their stiffest test of the season so far when they take on the No. 23 Illinois Fighting Illini in a key Big Ten Conference matchup on Saturday. USC is coming off a 45-31 win over Michigan State, while Illinois will look to rebound from a 63-10 loss at Indiana in Week 4. The Trojans (4-0, 2-0 Big Ten), who tied for ninth in the conference at 4-5 and were 7-6 overall in 2024, are 2-4 on the road since the start of last season. The Fighting Illini (3-1, 0-1 Big Ten), who tied for fifth at 6-3 and were 10-3 overall, are 8-1 on their home field since the start of last year.

Kickoff from Memorial Stadium in Champaign, Ill., is at noon ET. USC leads the all-time series 11-2, and will meet for the first time since 2007. The Trojans are 6.5-point favorites in the latest USC vs. Illinois odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 61.5 via SportsLine consensus. 

Before making any USC vs. Illinois picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and is a profitable 35-22 combined on money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of 2024. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen STRONG returns!

The model has simulated USC vs. Illinois 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

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Daniel Kohn

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