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NFL Week 5 lookahead lines, picks: Why Bills vs. Chiefs offers value early and more from proven NFL expert

Sportsbooks release their first lines for a given week 10-12 days out, and Mike Tierney shares how you can take advantage.

ByUpdated: Sep 29, 2021 11:54PM UTC . 2 min read

Bettors who seized Seattle at plus-3.5 against San Francisco on the lookahead line, as recommended in this space a week ago, were greeted by a reassuring sight when this week's spreads were released. The new number was 2.5.

None of which assures that the Seahawks will cover, but there is a mountain of difference between 2.5 and 3.5 given that three is the most common margin of victory -- about 15 percent of all games. In Week 2, four of the 16 matchups wound up as three-point decisions.

Oddly, the Seattle-San Fran spread shrunk even with the 'Hawks losing. (So did the 49ers.) Movement might be driven by unapparent reasons. Still, if an underdog of 3.5 or even four holds some appeal in the lookaheads, the time to act might be now instead of waiting.

Indeed, our three-pack of suggestions features a pair of such spreads.

Week 5 lookahead lines

Rams (-1) at Seahawks, O/U 53
Jets at Falcons (-4), O/U 43.5
Dolphins at Buccaneers (-9.5), O/U 49.5
Eagles at Panthers (-4), O/U 46.5
Saints (-1.5) at Washington, O/U 43
Titans (-7.5) at Jaguars, O/U 52
Lions at Vikings (-8), O/U 49.5
Broncos (-2) at Steelers, O/U 41.5
Packers (-3) at Bengals, O/U 48
Patriots (-7.5) at Texans, O/U 41.5
Bears at Raiders (-6.5), O/U 45
Browns at Chargers (PK), O/U 50.5
Giants at Cowboys (-8.5), O/U 49.5
49ers at Cardinals (-2.5), O/U 52.5
Bills at Chiefs (-3.5), O/U 56.5
Colts at Ravens (-6.5), O/U 49.5

Week 5 lookahead best bets

Which winless team is worth backing on their Week 5 number right now? And which side of Bills-Chiefs should you be hopping on before Week 4 gets underway? Read on to find out. 

Which Week 5 sides make for great plays before Week 4 kicks off? And which underdog is being severely mispriced by the market? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 5 lookahead picks from the expert who returned more than $2,500 on his NFL picks from 2016-20 and hit 56 percent of his ATS picks last year!

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Mike Tierney

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