NFL Week 3 Officiating Angles: Finding Edges in Saints-Packers, Patriots-Jets and Eagles-Buccaneers
SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein dives into the betting trends to know involving this week's referee assignments
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In this brand-new column, we use officiating tendencies to help make NFL picks. The column went 1-2 last week, falling to 3-3 on the season. We cashed easily with the Chiefs-Jaguars Under, but lost the Bengals and Browns against the spread.
In Week 3, we are focusing exclusively on totals.
This season, Joe Gibbs (not the Hall of Fame coach, the NFL referee expert who tweets @NFLrefstats) is collaborating with SportsLine to provide weekly officiating angles. He analyzes the NFL referee assignments from the moment they are released each Tuesday.
Before you make any Week 3 NFL picks or NFL parlays, you need to see what Gibbs and SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein have to say about the officiating crews' tendencies.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Larry tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Those selections formed the basis of his SportsLine NFL best bets, which finished 36-26-1 last season and began this season 4-2 through two weeks.
We can tell you Hartstein and Gibbs are betting Over 42 (at DraftKings) for Saints-Packers despite New Orleans going Under in eight straight games dating to last season.
The assigned referee, Brad Rogers, is 37-24 to the Over in his career and ranks third this season with 116 penalty yards (on an average of 16 flags) per game. The Over is 1-1 with Rogers this season, though his games averaged 51 points.
"Rogers is calling 25% of his penalties on defensive backs, above the NFL average," Gibbs noted.
Hartstein also is sharing key officiating angles in Patriots-Jets and Buccaneers-Eagles. You need to see this key referee data before locking in your picks!
So which side of Saints-Packers has the edge? And what other officiating edges can be found on the Week 3 slate? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Larry Hartstein's Week 3 NFL officiating trends, all from the expert who went 53-34-3 in the SuperContest last year!
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