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NFL Week 15 power ratings for against the spread picks: What each Week 15 line should be, and where there's value

Get the edge over the sportsbooks in Week 15 and beyond by developing a power rating system to stay ahead of the lines

By@rjwhite1.bsky.socialUpdated: Dec 14, 2021 4:30PM UTC . 2 min read

The Los Angeles Rams, like many good teams this year, looked broken as of a few weeks ago. They lost three straight games with a bye week in the middle of that stretch, and whispers grew that Matthew Stafford might not be healthy. The Rams trounced the Jacksonville Jaguars to end their skid, but big deal, right? Everyone does that. However, on Monday night the Rams proved to the world that they've corrected whatever issues they had during the slump, earning a decisive win in Arizona despite losing Jalen Ramsey and Tyler Higbee to the COVID list the day of the game.

Heading into the night, I had a group of three teams at five points better than average following the other outcomes in Week 14. The Arizona Cardinals were a half-point below that group, while the Rams were two points below based on how they'd played prior to the Jacksonville game. While I tend to be conservative with how much I move teams in a single week, the Rams' impressive win Monday was enough to lump them in the group of teams five points better than average, which is also where I dropped the Cardinals. That puts five teams in that second tier below my top two, with one other team hanging around just behind. 

Elsewhere in my power ratings, we have to determine: how low to drop the Ravens if Lamar Jackson is unable to play this week; what to do with a Panthers team that seems to be platooning its quarterbacks; whether there's any separation at all between the worst teams in football, and how many teams qualify for that distinction; and plenty more.

Read on to see my rating for all 32 teams, plus where I think the lines present the most value early in the week. 

Which lines are more than a point off their power rating projections for Week 15? And which teams are being undervalued by the market? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 15 power ratings from the expert who finished 2020 on an outstanding 80-59 run on NFL picks!

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