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NFL Week 14 power ratings for against the spread picks: What each Week 14 line should be, and where there's value

Get the edge over the sportsbooks in Week 14 and beyond by developing a power rating system to stay ahead of the lines

By@rjwhite1.bsky.socialPublished: Dec 07, 2021 7:37PM UTC . 2 min read

A week ago I wondered how many good teams there actually were in the NFL, questioning the cases for the Cowboys, Rams, Bills and Ravens as teams that are probably in everyone's top 10 but may not actually be good. The Cowboys picked up a win over the Saints while benefitting from Taysom Hill's in-game injury, but I was the least worried about them of the four. The Rams destroyed the Jaguars, which doesn't say a whole lot. And the Bills and Ravens lost low-scoring games, albeit under different circumstances, and neither is probably as good as we thought a week ago.

You know which team looks pretty good? The Indianapolis Colts. I know they beat the worst team in the league this past week, but it was a divisional game on the road, something that isn't always easy to handle for even the best teams. Indy lost a close game to the Bucs the week before but throttled the Bills before that, and I've thought for much of the year that they were better than their record indicated. They'll have a chance to prove themselves once again after the Week 14 bye, as they face two teams I know are good, the Patriots and Cardinals, before closing with the Raiders and Jaguars. They'll be a dangerous matchup in the playoffs, if they can make it.

How high am I willing to rate the Colts? How good are the Seahawks and Steelers coming off big divisional wins? Can we trust the Ravens at all moving forward? Let's get into it below.

Read on to see my rating for all 32 teams, plus where I think the lines present the most value early in the week. 

Which lines are more than a point off their power rating projections for Week 14? And which teams are being undervalued by the market? ... Join SportsLine right now to see Week 14 power ratings from the expert who finished 2020 on an outstanding 80-59 run on NFL picks!

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