Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans host Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills in an AFC Wild Card game on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 4:35 p.m. ET. Houston is a 2.5-point favorite and the over-under for total points scored is 43.5 in the latest Bills vs. Texans odds.

Before locking in any Texans vs. Bills picks, you NEED to see what Mike Tierney has to say. The veteran sportswriter, whose work has appeared in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, has covered football of all levels for decades. And that expertise has been evident since he joined SportsLine in 2016. 

He's been on fire, posting a record of 58-31 mark in his last 89 NFL picks, and he is coming off a week in which he posted a record of 8-3 against the spread. Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP.

Now he's studied Bills vs. Texans from every possible angle. We can tell you he's leaning Under the total, and he's also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before you lock in your own picks.

So who wins Bills vs. Texans? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Bills vs. Texans spread you should be all over on Saturday, all from the No. 1 expert who is 58-31 in his last 89 NFL picks!