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NFL Survivor Pool: Week 2, 2023 pick from advanced computer model

Don't lock in your NFL Week 2 survivor pick until you see the play from the SportsLine Projection Model

By@SportsLinePublished: Sep 17, 2023 3:14PM UTC . 3 min read

There were multiple upsets to kick off the 2023 NFL season, starting with Detroit taking down the Chiefs. If that's any indication for the rest of this year, then making NFL survivor picks could be a challenge. The Week 2 NFL schedule has several matchups that look one-sided on paper, but of course, games aren't contested on paper. Before you make your Week 2 NFL survivor picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-114 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. In Week 1, the model backed the Falcons in its NFL survivor pick. The result: Atlanta beat Carolina 24-10. Anyone who backed the model advanced in their survivor pool.

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

In Week 1, the model recommended the Falcons as its top survivor pick. Atlanta won in 56% of SportsLine's simulations, and the Falcons scored the last 17 points of the game to pull away with a 24-10 win.

In Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though are coming off a thrilling win over the Chargers, while their Week 2 opponent, New England, lost its season-opener to the Eagles. The Patriots went toe-to-toe with a Philly team coming off a Super Bowl appearance and Gillette Stadium has been a home-field advantage in this matchup. The Patriots are 14-2 across their last 16 home games against the Dolphins, which is why the model is saving Miami for another week.

Instead, the model is backing a team with a new head coach that has had plenty of home success versus its Week 2 opponent! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

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