With the craziness of the 2024 NFL season, if you are, somehow, still alive for Week 18 NFL survivor pools, then chances are you're the last one standing. So, congrats, but you also didn't come this far just to come this far. You want to finish out the season by hitting on your Week 18 NFL knockout pick and sweeping NFL eliminator. However, with varying motivation in the season finales for several teams, and with lots of star players sitting out, which team should you lean towards with your NFL survivor picks?

Before you make your Week 18 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season on a 30-14 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year -- a stunning 68% success rate! Longer term, it is on a 210-142 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 64-35 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

In Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the Bills (-2.5, 38.5) despite being favorites and winning six of the last seven matchups versus New England. Buffalo is locked into the No. 2 seed in the AFC, so it really has no incentive to play its starters in this game and instead could use it as a bye week. Josh Allen is expected to get the ceremonial start to keep his starting streak alive, but he, and many other regulars, won't play the full game. The Bills are just too risky a team for Week 18 NFL knockout pools.

Instead, the model is backing a SURPRISING team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

Which surprising team is the optimal Week 18 NFL survivor pool play? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the SportsLine Projection Model's shocking Week 18 NFL survivor pick, all from the model that is up well over $7,000 since its inception!