There are three starting quarterback changes that could have an impact on who you choose with Week 16 NFL survivor picks. Michael Penix Jr. is replacing Kirk Cousins in Atlanta, Dorian Thompson-Robinson is succeeding Jameis Winston in Cleveland, and Mason Rudolph is getting the nod over Will Levis in Tennessee. The games involving those teams are Falcons vs. Giants (+8.5), Browns vs. Bengals (-7.5) and Titans vs. Colts (-3.5). Does the theoretical spark that QB changes often provide make one of these three squads more attractive with Week 16 NFL knockout picks? What other matchups should you consider to keep your NFL eliminator pools alive for another week?

Before you make your Week 16 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 27-11 hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 207-139 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 61-32 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

In Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season, we can tell you the model is shying away from the Colts (-3.5, 42.5) despite being home favorites versus the 3-11 Titans. Anthony Richardson simply can't be trusted as he has just one game this year with over a 50% completion rate and just two games with more passing touchdowns than interceptions. Meanwhile, the Titans' offense got a jolt with Mason Rudolph replacing Will Levis last week, as the Titans had a season-high in passing yards, and simply benching Levis is addition by subtraction. With the Titans also 4-1 over their last five trips to Indianapolis, the model is steering clear of the Colts in Week 16 NFL knockout pools.

Instead, the model is backing a SURPRISING team that wins outright in well over 80% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

Which surprising team is the optimal Week 16 NFL survivor pool play? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the SportsLine Projection Model's shocking Week 16 NFL survivor pick, all from the model that is up well over $7,000 since its inception!