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NFL Survivor Pool: Week 14, 2025 pick from advanced computer model

Don't lock in your NFL Week 14 survivor pick until you see the play from the SportsLine Projection Model

ByUpdated: Dec 01, 2025 3:40PM UTC . 3 min read

There are a number of options for survivor pool players as the Week 14 NFL schedule features 14 games. For those who have negotiated their way through 13 weeks of upsets and bad luck, there may be a clear winning pathway. Week 13 had its share of drama as a number of favorites came up short including the Detroit Lions, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams.

A popular choice this week is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who take on the visiting New Orleans Saints. New Orleans, which has already been eliminated from playoff contention, have dropped two in a row. The Buccaneers, meanwhile, snapped a three-game losing streak with a 20-17 win over the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.

The Buccaneers enter as an 8.5-point favorite in what is the largest of the Week 14 NFL lines. The closest lines are at -1.5, including Indianapolis over Jacksonville and Washington over Minnesota on Sunday.

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Before making any Week 14 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 on a 49-33 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

This week, the model is shying away from picking the Baltimore Ravens (6-6), who are taking on the 6-6 Pittsburgh Steelers with the AFC North lead on the line. The Ravens enter as 6.5-point favorites, but are coming off a 32-14 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has won seven of the past 10 games against Baltimore.

The SportsLine model projects Pittsburgh winning in nearly 40% of simulations, making Baltimore a team to fade. Instead, the model is CONFIDENTLY backing a team that wins outright in over 70% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

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Daniel Kohn

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