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NFL Survivor Pool: Week 12, 2025 pick from advanced computer model

Don't lock in your NFL Week 12 survivor pick until you see the play from the SportsLine Projection Model

ByUpdated: Nov 17, 2025 8:42PM UTC . 3 min read

The Week 12 NFL schedule will give the remaining survivor pool players a plethora of options to choose from. For those who have negotiated through 11 weeks of upsets and surprising outcomes, there may be a clear winning pathway. Week 11 had its share of heartbreak for some survivor pool players as favorites such as the Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Chargers all were upset.

A popular choice this week is the nine-time defending AFC West champion Kansas City Chiefs (5-5), who are taking on the 8-2 Indianapolis Colts. The Chiefs are looking to put an end to their two-game losing streak as they try to battle their way back to the top of their division. The Colts, meanwhile, won't be an easy foe as they are coming off their bye. Indianapolis has won five of its last six games.

Kansas City enters as a 3.5-point favorite in what is one of the five smallest Week 12 NFL lines, all which are 3.5 points or lower. The closest has New Orleans as a 1-point favorite over Atlanta, as Kirk Cousins is expected to make the start in place of the injured Michael Penix Jr. The Falcons have lost five in a row, while the Saints dropped four of five.

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Before making any Week 12 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model is on a sizzling 45-28 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

This week, the model is shying away from picking the Chicago Bears (7-3), who are taking on the 6-4 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bears enter as 3-point favorites, having won three in a row. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has won two of their last three games, including a 34-12 win over the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers may miss the game with an injured left wrist.

The Bears are 3-point home favorites, but the SportsLine model projects Pittsburgh covering in over 50% of simulations, making Chicago a team to fade. Instead, the model is CONFIDENTLY backing a team that wins outright in ovre 80% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

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Daniel Kohn
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