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NFL Survivor Pool: Week 10, 2025 pick from advanced computer model

Don't lock in your NFL Week 10 survivor pick until you see the play from the SportsLine Projection Model

ByUpdated: Nov 03, 2025 4:56PM UTC . 3 min read

Survivor pool survivors will have a number of options to choose from with the Week 10 NFL schedule. Unless the Green Bay Packers or Indianapolis Colts were your pick, there weren't too many upsets in Week 9 as most favorites pulled through. That included the Seattle Seahawks with a 38-14 win over the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football, and the Los Angeles Rams with a 34-10 win over the New Orleans Saints.

A popular choice this week is the Indianapolis Colts (7-2), who are taking on the 3-5 Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have lost three in a row since their 24-14 upset win over the Buffalo Bills on Oct. 13 and will have to deal with the No. 1 scoring offense on the road. The Colts lead the NFL with 32.2 points per game. They have won four of the past five games.

Indianapolis enters as a 5-5-point favorite in what is one of the five largest Week 10 NFL lines, and one of five NFL spreads of at least five points. Another is the Denver Broncos as 9.5-point favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday Night Football, who have lost two in a row. The Broncos have won six consecutive games.

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Before making any Week 10 NFL survivor pool picks or NFL knockout pool picks, you NEED to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is backing.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model is on a sizzling 45-28 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice.

This week, the model is shying away from picking the Seahawks (6-2) over the Cardinals (2-5). Although Seattle is tied for first with the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West and riding a three-game winning streak, they are just 2-2 at home this season. Quarterback Sam Darnold leads the offense, completing 70.4% of his passes for 2,084 yards and 16 touchdowns with five interceptions. Despite opening as the big home favorite, the SportsLine model projects Seattle covering in nearly 50% of simulations, making the Seahawks a team to fade.

Instead, the model is CONFIDENTLY backing a team that wins outright in over 70% of simulations! Picking this team will put you in the optimal position to win your NFL survivor pool. You NEED to see which team the model is backing before locking in your NFL survivor picks!

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Daniel Kohn
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