New Mexico vs. Tulsa odds, prediction: 2026 NIT Semifinal picks from proven model

The 2026 National Invitational Tournament has also reached its final four teams, with the NIT semifinal matchups taking place on Thursday. The New Mexico Lobos (26-10) will take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (29-7) in the first semifinal, with the winner then facing the victor of Auburn-Illinois State. The Lobos have won all three of their 2026 NIT games by double-digits, most recently knocking off Saint Joseph's in the quarters. Tulsa is aiming for its second 30-win season in program history and is coming off a quarterfinal win over Wichita State.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET from Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Lobos are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Tulsa vs. New Mexico odds, while the over/under is 160.5.

Before making any New Mexico vs. Tulsa picks, you NEED to see the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 Final Four on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Tulsa vs. New Mexico 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value!

So who wins New Mexico vs. Tulsa, and which side of the spread has all of the value? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Tulsa vs. New Mexico spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!