New Mexico State vs. Liberty odds, prediction: 2026 C-USA men's college basketball picks from proven model

The Liberty Flames look to continue their winning ways when they take on the New Mexico State Aggies in a key Conference USA matchup on Thursday night. New Mexico State is coming off a 59-55 loss to Middle Tennessee State on Saturday, while Liberty downed Sam Houston State 82-74 that same day. The Aggies (9-6, 2-3 C-USA), who have lost three of four, are 0-3 away from home this season. The Flames (13-3, 5-0 C-USA), who have won seven in a row, are 8-0 on their home court.

Tip-off from Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, Va., is set for 6 p.m. ET. Liberty leads the all-time series 3-1, including a 2-0 mark in games played in Lynchburg. Liberty is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest New Mexico State vs. Liberty odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 141.5. 

Before making any New Mexico State vs. Liberty picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and entered Week 11 on a sizzling 9-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated New Mexico State vs. Liberty 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 70% of simulations!

So who wins New Mexico State vs. Liberty, and which side hits in over 70% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!