NC State vs. Pitt odds, prediction, spread: 2026 ACC Tournament picks from proven model

A second-round matchup in the 2026 ACC Tournament will pit the No. 7 NC State Wolfpack against the No. 15 Pittsburgh Panthers. NC State (19-12, 10-8 ACC) has dropped four straight, most recently falling to Stanford on Saturday. Pitt (13-19, 5-13 ACC) is coming off back-to-back victories and knocked off Stanford in the first round of the ACC Tournament 2026 on Tuesday. NC State prevailed, 81-72, in their lone regular season matchup in January.

Tipoff is at noon ET from the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. The Wolfpack are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Pitt vs. NC State odds, while the over/under is 144.5.

Before making any NC State vs. Pitt picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Pitt vs. NC State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

So who wins NC State vs. Pittsburgh, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Pittsburgh vs. NC State spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!