Former Super Bowl-winning coach Bill Parcells once famously said, "You are what your record says you are." But if any team tested that proclamation, it was the 2022 Minnesota Vikings. Last season Minnesota finished the season 13-4, matching the franchise's record for most wins in a season. But the Vikings had a negative point differential (-3) on the year. For comparison, the Lions had a +26 point differential yet finished 9-8, four games behind NFC North-winning Minnesota in the division. What kind of sorcery is this?

The Vikings deserve credit for their mastery in one-score games. They went an incredible 11-0 record in such games, which was an all-time NFL record. But their magic ran out in the playoffs when Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley and the Giants beat Minnesota, 31-24, in a Wild Card game at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The loss highlighted the Vikings' seasonlong woes on defense. They gave up 443 total yards, including 78 rushing yards and 301 passing yards to Jones. For the season, Minnesota allowed 388.7 total yards per game, which was the second most in the league, better than only Detroit. 

That prompted major changes on defense. Coordinator Ed Donatell was fired and replaced by former Dolphins head coach Brian Flores. In 2020 Flores led Miami to a 10-6 record, with the defense finishing sixth in the NFL, allowing 21.1 points per game. He inherits a unit that will be working with a new pair of cornerbacks in Byron Murphy Jr. and second round pick Mekhi Blackmon. 

On the other side of the ball, the Vikings should again have a highly productive offense despite the loss of running back Dalvin Cook and receiver Adam Thielen for salary cap reasons. Receiver Justin Jefferson (128 receptions for 1,809 yards last season) is a threat to approach 2,000 receiving yards and remains one of the best wideouts in the NFL. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, though much maligned, will get a chance at a second year under the same play-caller (head coach Kevin O'Connell) for the first time in his six seasons in Minnesota. Former Fred Biletnikoff Award winner Jordan Addison brings his considerable talent to the wide receiver room after being selected in the first round of the draft.

• 2023 NFL Futures betting guide: Win totals, prop picks and more

Below, you'll find the Minnesota Vikings 2023 schedule, win total and more futures odds from Caesars Sportsbook, followed by picks from top SportsLine NFL analysts, including:

• Larry Hartstein, who tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS (61 percent). Entering the 2023 season, Larry is 521-427 all-time on NFL sides and props (plus $3,679 for $100 players, every bet 1 unit) at SportsLine.
• Alex Selesnick, who specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert, and he is 309-231 (plus 61.09 units with every bet 1 unit) in the NFL entering the 2023 season.
  
• R.J. White, who consistently crushes the NFL and shares his SuperContest and Survivor picks at SportsLine during the season. R.J. went 535-450-30 on ATS picks from 2017-22, returning $3,532 to $100 players as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert in against the spread picks.

Minnesota Vikings 2023 schedule

Week 1: vs. Buccaneers
Week 2: at Eagles (THU)
Week 3: vs. Chargers
Week 4: at Panthers
Week 5: vs. Chiefs
Week 6: at Bears
Week 7: vs. 49ers (MON)
Week 8: at Packers
Week 9: at Falcons
Week 10: vs. Saints
Week 11: at Broncos (SUN)
Week 12: vs. Bears (MON)
Week 13: Bye
Week 14: at Raiders
Week 15: at Bengals
Week 16: vs. Lions
Week 17: vs. Packers (SUN)
Week 18: at Lions

Minnesota Vikings 2023 futures odds

Win Total Over: 8.5 (-140)
Win Total Under: 8.5 (+120)

Make Playoffs: +120
Miss Playoffs: -140

Win Division: +300
Win Conference: +1600
Win Super Bowl: +4000

So will the Vikings go over or under their win total for the 2023 season? And what other futures bets are worth making? ... Join SportsLine right now to see SportsLine's Minnesota Vikings 2023 futures picks, all from the acclaimed experts who have crushed the NFL for years!