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Michigan vs. Texas prediction, odds, time: 2025 Citrus Bowl picks from proven model

SportsLine's model has locked in its best bets for Wednesday's Michigan Wolverines vs. Texas Longhorns matchup in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl 2025

ByUpdated: Dec 28, 2025 7:35PM UTC . 2 min read

The 2025-26 college football bowl schedule has five matchups on New Year's Eve, with the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl 2025 the middle contest. It features the No. 13 Texas Longhorns facing the No. 18 Michigan Wolverines in an SEC vs. Big Ten contest. Both squads are 9-3, with the Longhorns coming off a 27-17 victory over Texas A&M, while the Wolverines lost, 27-9, to Ohio State in their last outing.

Kickoff is at 3 p.m. ET from Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla. The Longhorns are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Michigan odds, while the over/under is 48.5.

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Before making any Michigan vs. Texas picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on its top-rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. 

The model has simulated Texas vs. Michigan 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is going Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

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