Miami vs. Ole Miss odds, line: 2026 college football picks for Fiesta Bowl and College Football Playoff semifinal matchup from proven model

The 10th-ranked Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes will look to continue their unlikely run to the championship when they battle the sixth-ranked Ole Miss Rebels in a College Football Playoff semifinal matchup at the Fiesta Bowl on Thursday. Miami stunned defending national champion Ohio State 24-14 on New Year's Eve, while Ole Miss held off third-ranked Georgia 39-34 on New Year's Day. The Hurricanes (12-2, 6-2 ACC), who have won six in a row, are 4-0 against ranked opponents this season. The Rebels (13-1, 7-1 SEC), who have won seven consecutive games, are 2-1 against ranked foes. The Ole Miss coaching staff is in flux, but offensive coordinator Charlie Weis Jr. will be on the sideline for the Rebels, along with interim Head Coach Pete Golding.

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Kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., is at 7:30 p.m. ET. Ole Miss leads the all-time series 2-1, but the teams have not played since 1951. The Hurricanes are 3.5-point favorites (-177 on the money line) in the latest Miami vs. Ole Miss odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 51.5 via DraftKings Sportsbook.  

Before making any Miami vs. Ole Miss picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. 

The model has simulated Miami vs. Ole Miss 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of simulations!

So who wins Miami vs. Ole Miss, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times! 

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