Miami (Ohio) vs. Fresno State odds, line: 2025 college football picks for Arizona Bowl matchup from proven model

The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks face the Fresno State Bulldogs in the Arizona Bowl on Saturday. Miami is coming off a 23-13 Mid-American Conference Championship Game loss to Western Michigan, while Fresno State finished the regular season with a 41-14 win over San Jose State on Nov. 29. The RedHawks (7-6), who finished tied for second in the conference at 6-2, have won two of their last three games. The Bulldogs (8-4), who finished tied for fifth in the Mountain West at 5-3, have won three of their last four.

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Both teams have been hit by injury and the transfer portal. Among Miami's defections include quarterback Dequan Finn, who has left the program, while starting wide receiver Kam Perry entered the transfer portal. Fresno State safety Jayden Davis has entered the portal.

Kickoff from Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz., is at 4:30 p.m. ET. This will be the first-ever meeting between the schools. Bulldogs are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. Fresno State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 42.5 via SportsLine consensus. 

Before making any Miami vs. Fresno State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. Anyone following could have seen impressive returns.

The model has simulated Miami vs. Fresno State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations!

So who wins Miami vs. Fresno State, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks!

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