The Baltimore Orioles will look to win their fourth game in the past five when they battle the New York Mets in Game 1 of a doubleheader on Thursday. The Mets (53-39), who have won five of the past six games, are 20-25 on the road this season. The Orioles (40-50), who are fifth in the American League East, are 19-23 on their home field in 2025.

First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 12:05 p.m. ET. The Orioles have won five of the last nine meetings with the Mets. New York is a -138 favorite on the money line (risk $138 to win $100) in the latest Mets vs. Orioles odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 9 in the latest MLB odds. New York's Juan Soto is +300 to hit a home run, while Pete Alonso is +135 to record 1+ RBI. 

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The model has simulated Mets vs. Orioles 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you the model is going Over on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value!

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