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Mets vs. Marlins odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Friday showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's matchup between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins

By@SportsLineUpdated: Mar 31, 2023 7:16PM UTC . 2 min read

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins face off at loanDepot Park for the second time in as many days at 6:40 p.m. ET on Friday. New York is listed as a -115 favorite (risk $115 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 7.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Mets vs. Marlins picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns!

The model knows the Mets opened the season with a five-run showing in a win on Thursday. New York led the NL with 1,422 hits last season, and the Mets were also atop the league in batting average and strikeout avoidance. The Mets also finished 2022 in the top four of the league in runs scored, on-base percentage, and OPS. The model also knows the Marlins have a quality starting pitching option in Jesus Luzardo. The 25-year-old posted a 3.32 ERA during the 2022 season, including a 3.03 ERA in the second half. Luzardo also struck out almost 11 batters per nine innings and has a strong matchup against Miami's offense.

Now, it has set its sights on Mets vs. Marlins. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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