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Mavericks vs. Warriors line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Saturday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors

By@SportsLinePublished: Feb 04, 2023 11:05PM UTC . 2 min read

A national, prime time audience will observe a Western Conference battle between the Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Golden State is favored by 10 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 226 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Luka Doncic (heel) has been ruled out for Dallas. 

Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 49-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Dallas is elite in specific areas on offense. The Mavericks are No. 2 in the NBA in free throw attempts, averaging more than 26 per game. Dallas is in the top three of the league in turnover rate at 12.5%, and the Mavericks commit only 6.2 live-ball turnovers per contest. The model also knows the Warriors are stout in multiple defensive areas. Golden State is allowing only 47.0% shooting to opponents and forcing nearly 15 turnovers per game. The Warriors also secure more than 72% of available defensive rebounds, and Dallas is the second-worst offensive rebounding team in the NBA.

Now, it has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Warriors. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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