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Marlins vs. Cubs odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Friday afternoon matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Chicago Cubs

By@SportsLineUpdated: May 05, 2023 2:19PM UTC . 2 min read

The Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs begin a weekend series with a matinee matchup at 2:20 p.m. ET on Friday. Chicago is listed as a -170 favorite (risk $170 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 9 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Marlins vs. Cubs picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 28-22 run dating back to the end of last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns!

The model knows the Marlins can lean on right-hander Edward Cabrera. He has a 3.47 ERA over the last two seasons, striking out more than ten batters per nine innings in that sample. Cabrera also boasts a 3.48 ERA on the road in his career. The model also knows the Cubs have been highly productive on offense to this point in the season. Chicago leads the NL with a .270 batting average to go along with top-three marks in on-base percentage (.341) and slugging percentage (.436). The Cubs also have top-four metrics in stolen bases (29) and home runs (40). 

Now, it has set its sights on Marlins vs. Cubs. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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