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Las Vegas Bowl odds, picks: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State selections from advanced computer model for Thursday's bowl game

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl matchup between the Wisconsin Badgers and the Arizona State Sun Devils

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 30, 2021 6:15PM UTC . 3 min read

The Wisconsin Badgers take on the Arizona State Sun Devils in the Las Vegas Bowl at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Wisconsin is favored by seven points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 42 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page). 

Before making any Wisconsin vs. Arizona State picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the third week of the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-30 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Badgers are tremendous on defense. Wisconsin led the Big Ten in total defense this season, allowing only 240.8 yards per game. The Badgers were also No. 1 in the conference in both passing defense and rushing defense, allowing only nine touchdown passes and just 2.1 yards per carry to the opposition. Opponents scored only 16.4 points per game against Wisconsin this season, and the Badgers have outstanding balance. Three players had at least 50 tackles and five players had at least three sacks for Wisconsin in 2021.

The model also knows Arizona State's defense is regarded in high esteem, but the Sun Devils are also good on offense. Arizona State averaged more than 400 total yards per game this season, ranking in the top four of the Pac-12 in rushing yards per game, yards per carry and rushing touchdowns. The Sun Devils averaged nearly 30 points per game, leading the conference in completion rate (66.8 percent) and yards per pass attempt (8.1). Arizona State is also elite on third down, converting nearly 44 percent of opportunities.

Now, it has set its sights on Wisconsin vs. Arizona State. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

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