Kentucky vs. Missouri odds, prediction: 2026 SEC Tournament picks from proven model

A second-round matchup in the 2026 SEC Tournament will pit the #8 Missouri Tigers against the No. 9 Kentucky Wildcats on Thursday. Mizzou (20-11, 10-8 SEC) is coming off back-to-back defeats, most recently falling to Arkansas in overtime. UK (20-12, 10-8 SEC) saw a two-game skid come to an end with a SEC Tournament first round win over LSU on Wednesday. The Tigers won the lone regular season matchup, 73-68.

Tipoff is at 12:30 p.m. ET from the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn. The Wildcats are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Missouri vs. Kentucky odds, while the over/under is 148.5.

Before making any Kentucky vs. Missouri picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Missouri vs. Kentucky 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value!

So who wins Kentucky vs. Missouri, and which side of the spread has all of the value? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Missouri vs. Kentucky spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!