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Indiana vs. Illinois line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Big Ten Tournament matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Friday's matchup between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Illinois Fighting Illini

By@SportsLinePublished: Mar 11, 2022 2:34PM UTC . 3 min read

The Indiana Hoosiers challenge the top-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini in a Big Ten quarterfinal matchup at 11:30 a.m. ET on Friday. Illinois is favored by five points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 136.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Indiana vs. Illinois picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Indiana is elite on defense. The Hoosiers lead the Big Ten in defensive efficiency, ranking near the top of the country in the process. Indiana also leads the Big Ten in block rate, rejecting more than 13 percent of shots. The Hoosiers are in the top four of the Big Ten in 2-point shooting allowed and 3-point shooting allowed, and Indiana forces a turnover on well over 17 percent of defensive possessions.

The model also knows Illinois is in the top 30 nationally in both offense and defense. The Illini are No. 2 in the Big Ten in offensive rebound rate at 33.8 percent, and Illinois leads the Big Ten in 3-point attempt rate, while making 36.7 percent of attempts. Illinois is above-average in 2-point shooting and ball security, and Illinois leads the Big Ten in shooting efficiency allowed on defense. Opponents are shooting 33 percent from 3-point range and 46.4 percent inside the arc against the Illini in conference play.

Now, it has set its sights on Indiana vs. Illinois. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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