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    Idaho vs. Sacramento State line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Big Sky Tournament matchup

    SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Wednesday morning's matchup between the Idaho Vandals and the Sacramento State Hornets
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    The Idaho Vandals take on the Sacramento State Hornets in an opening round matchup of the 2022 Big Sky Tournament at 11:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday. Sacramento State is favored by two points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 137 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). Before making any Idaho vs. Sacramento State picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

    The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $1,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

    The model knows Idaho is prolific from three-point range, ranking in the top 40 of the country at 36.9 percent. The Vandals are also above-average in both free throw creation and free throw accuracy. Sacramento State's defense is porous on the glass, ranking third-worst in the Big Sky in defensive rebound rate, and opponents are shooting more than 53 percent on two-point attempts against the Hornets. Idaho should also benefit from a Sacramento State defense that ranks dead-last in the Big Sky in assist rate allowed.

    The model also knows Sacramento State should benefit from Idaho's defensive issues. The Vandals rank last in the Big Sky in defensive efficiency, with the worst overall marks in shooting efficiency allowed and two-point shooting allowed. Idaho also ranks last in block rate and steal rate, leaving Sacramento State in a comfortable position. The Hornets are No. 2 in the conference in three-point shooting, making 38.2 percent of attempts, and Sacramento State is above-average in ball security. The Hornets are committing a turnover on only 17 percent of offensive possessions against Big Sky competition.

    Now, it has set its sights on Idaho vs. Sacramento State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

    Who wins Idaho vs. Sacramento State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Idaho vs. Sacramento State spread you should be all over Wednesday, all from the model on a roll on college basketball picks!

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    SportsLine Staff

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