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Heat vs. Cavaliers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Tuesday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Tuesday's matchup between the Miami Heat and the Cleveland Cavaliers

By@SportsLinePublished: Jan 31, 2023 10:01PM UTC . 2 min read

The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers meet in a battle between Eastern Conference contenders at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Cleveland is favored by 4 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 210.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Heat vs. Cavaliers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 49-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Heat are fantastic on defense. Miami is in the top five of the NBA in defensive rating, and the Heat create more than 16 turnovers and eight steals per game. The Heat rank in the top three of the league in free throw prevention, defensive rebound rate, and points allowed in the paint. The model also knows Cleveland is also excellent on the defensive end. The Cavaliers give up fewer than 1.1 points per possession, and Cleveland leads the NBA in assists allowed with only 22.6 per game. The Cavaliers also lead the NBA in second-chance points allowed (12.0 per game), with top-tier marks in free throw prevention and points allowed in the paint.

Now, it has set its sights on Heat vs. Cavaliers. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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