The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Los Angeles Lakers for Game 4 of a first round series at 10 p.m. ET on Monday. Los Angeles is favored by 4.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 224 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Grizzlies are holding the Lakers to fewer than 1.04 points per possession in the last two games. Memphis has given up only 21.7 assists per game while creating 15.0 turnovers per contest in the series, and Los Angeles is shooting only 33% from 3-point range. The Grizzlies also ranked in the top three of the NBA in defensive rating (110.7) and opponent shooting during the regular season. 

The model also knows the Lakers have a strong defense, but Los Angeles also brings some sterling offensive numbers to the table. The Lakers lead the entire postseason with 18.7 fast break points per game, and Los Angeles is generating 18.0 second-chance points with a 31.6% offensive rebound rate. Los Angeles is also averaging almost 55 points in the paint per game.

Now, it has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Lakers. We can tell you the model is leaning Under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Grizzlies vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Grizzlies vs. Lakers spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model that's 71-38 on top-rated NBA picks!