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Grizzlies vs. Lakers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Game 3 playoff matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's Game 3 matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Los Angeles Lakers

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 23, 2023 12:19AM UTC . 2 min read

The Los Angeles Lakers host the Memphis Grizzlies in the final NBA playoff game of Saturday at 10 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is favored by 5.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 221 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-37 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Grizzlies have strong offensive indicators dating back to the regular season. Memphis scored almost 1.15 points per possession in 2022-23, and the Grizzlies led the NBA with 58.4 points in the paint per game. The Grizzlies are also potent on the offensive glass, grabbing 30.2% of available rebounds with 15.3 second-chance points per contest. The model also knows the Lakers are riding high on defense. Los Angeles is allowing only 1.09 points per possession in the series after yielding 1.11 points per possession after the All-Star break. The Lakers led the NBA in free throw attempts allowed (20.8 per game) in the regular season, and Memphis is averaging only 18.5 free throw attempts in the first two games. 

Now, it has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Lakers. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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