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Giants vs. Packers line, picks: Advanced computer NFL model releases selections for Week 5 London matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Sunday's matchup between the New York Giants and the Green Bay Packers in London

By@SportsLinePublished: Oct 09, 2022 1:09PM UTC . 2 min read

The Green Bay Packers and New York Giants square off in London at 9:30 a.m. ET on Sunday. Green Bay is favored by eight points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 42. Before making any Giants vs. Packers picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows the Giants have been stingy on defense. New York is giving up only 17.8 points per game, a top-10 mark, and opponents are scoring only 1.61 points per drive. The Giants are also No. 2 in third down defense (29.4%) and red zone efficiency (35.7%) and has top-10 marks in first downs allowed, passing yards allowed, and passing touchdowns allowed.

The model also knows the Packers are No. 6 in total offense and No. 7 in rushing offense. Green Bay is averaging 5.0 yards per carry and, with four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers at the helm, is converting 42.6% of third down chances.

Now, it has set its sights on Giants vs. Packers in London. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

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