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Fresno State vs. Arizona State line, picks: Advanced computer college football model releases prediction, best bets for Week 3, 2023 matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated CFB picks for Saturday's Arizona State vs. Fresno State Week 3 matchup

By@SportsLinePublished: Sep 15, 2023 1:59PM UTC . 3 min read

The Fresno State Bulldogs look to remain undefeated as they travel to Tempe to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils in a Week 3 matchup on Saturday. Last week, Fresno State won their second straight tight game, defeating FCS Eastern Washington, 34-31. ASU fell to 1-1 following a 27-15 home loss in Week 2 to Oklahoma State. The teams most recently played in the 2018 Las Vegas Bowl, a 31-20 Bulldogs victory. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. 

The Bulldogs are 3-point road favorites, while the over/under is set at 50.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college football odds page) in the latest Arizona State vs. Fresno State odds. 

Before making any Fresno State vs. Arizona State picks, you NEED to check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows that the Bulldogs rallied from a three-point fourth quarter deficit to defeat Eastern Washington in double overtime on Saturday. Statistically the game was essentially even, with Eastern Washington having outgained Fresno State 366-364. Both Fresno State victories this season have involved fourth quarter comebacks, including a 39-35 win at Purdue in their season opener.

The model also knows that Arizona State has struggled offensively in its first two games under new head coach Kenny Dillingham, generating only 15 points and 277 yards of total offense against Oklahoma State. The Sun Devils also only went 1-for-5 on fourth down conversions last Saturday, hurting their chances of a comeback against the Cowboys.

Now, it has set its sights on Oklahoma State vs. Arizona State. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college football picks.

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