Florida vs. Arkansas odds, prediction: 2026 Southeastern Conference men's college basketball picks from proven model

The seventh-ranked Florida Gators can secure at least a share of the Southeastern Conference regular-season championship when they battle the 20th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks in a key matchup on Saturday night. Arkansas is coming off a 99-84 win over the Texas A&M Aggies on Wednesday, while Florida downed the Texas Longhorns 84-71 that same night. The Razorbacks (21-7, 11-4 SEC), who are 4-5 against ranked opponents, are 4-4 on the road this season. The Gators (22-6, 13-2 SEC), the defending national champions, are 12-1 on their home court.

Tip-off from Exactech Arena at the Stephen C O'Connell Center in Gainesville, Fla., is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Florida leads the all-time series 28-15, including wins in each of the last two seasons. Florida is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Arkansas vs. Florida odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 166.5. 

Before making any Arkansas vs. Florida picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and entered Week 17 on a sizzling 11-1 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 20-11 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Arkansas vs. Florida 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time!

So who wins Arkansas vs. Florida, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!