Duke vs. Virginia odds, prediction: 2026 ACC Tournament Championship picks from proven model

The 2026 ACC Tournament concludes on Saturday with a championship matchup between top-seeded Duke and No. 2 seed Virginia. Duke beat Clemson in the semifinals to advance, while Virginia dominated Miami to set up the second matchup between these teams this season. Duke dominated the first game 77-51 in Durham, easily covering as a 10-point favorite on Feb. 28.

Tipoff from the Spectrum Center in Charlotte is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. Virginia odds, while the over/under is 137.5.

Before making any Virginia vs. Duke picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

So who wins Duke vs. UVA, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!