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Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Saturday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Saturday's matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the St. Louis Cardinals

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 30, 2022 3:59PM UTC . 2 min read

The Arizona Diamondbacks visit the St. Louis Cardinals for an afternoon matchup at 2:15 p.m. ET on Saturday. St. Louis is listed as a -150 favorite (risk $150 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 7.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). 

Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It's on a 25-11 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through three weeks, returning almost $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Diamondbacks are keyed by a potent starting pitcher. Merrill Kelly gets the nod for Arizona, and the 33-year-old owns a 1.69 ERA in 21.1 innings in 2022. Kelly has not allowed a home run this season, and he has a 50 percent ground ball rate that is robust. Kelly has more than three times as many strikeouts as walks, and he ranks ten percent better than the NL average in ERA over the last three seasons.

The model also knows the Cardinals have defined strengths. St. Louis entered the weekend with the NL lead in both strikeout avoidance and stolen bases. The Cardinals also rank in the top five of the NL in batting average, and the Cardinals bullpen ranks in the top tier in ERA (2.74) and walks (2.99 per 9 innings). Arizona's offense is also scuffling, with bottom-three marks in runs, hits, doubles, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Now, it has set its sights on Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

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