Dayton vs. VCU odds, prediction: 2026 A-10 Tournament Final picks from proven model

The 2026 Atlantic-10 Tournament Championship Game is set as the Dayton Flyers will face the VCU Rams on Sunday. Dayton (23-10, 12-6 A-10) upset Saint Louis in Saturday's A-10 Tournament semifinal and has won eight of its last nine. VCU (26-7, 15-3 A-10) is riding a five-game win streak, most recently knocking off Saint Joseph's in Saturday's semis. The Rams are aiming for their fourth Atlantic-10 Tournament Championship while Dayton is going for its second.

Tipoff is at 1 p.m. ET from PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh on CBS and Paramount+. The Rams are 2.5-point favorites in the latest VCU vs. Dayton odds, while the over/under is 139.5.

Before making any Dayton vs. VCU picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on top-ranked over/under picks dating back to last year, and is on an 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated VCU vs. Dayton 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time!

So who wins Dayton vs. VCU, and which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the VCU vs. Dayton spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times!