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Davidson vs. New Mexico State line, picks: Advanced computer college basketball model releases selections for Thursday matchup

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the Davidson Wildcats and the New Mexico State Aggies

By@SportsLinePublished: Nov 18, 2021 2:17PM UTC . 3 min read

The Davidson Wildcats and the New Mexico State Aggies square off in the 2021 Myrtle Beach Invitational at noon ET on Thursday. Davidson is favored by two points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 132.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our college basketball odds page). 

Before making any Davidson vs. New Mexico State picks, you NEED to check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows Davidson is led by Michigan State transfer Foster Loyer, who is averaging 17.0 points per game to begin the season. As a team, Davidson is shooting 51.4 percent from three-point range, and the Wildcats were very strong on offense last season. Davidson was a top-20 team in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency in 2020-21, headlined by a blistering 56.8 percent clip on two-point attempts. The Wildcats also put pressure on opponents with a sky-high three-point attempt rate, and Davidson's offense is disciplined and efficient.

The model also knows New Mexico State has potent scorers in Sir'Jabari Rice and Nebraska transfer Teddy Allen. Both are averaging double-digits this season, and the Aggies are a very good offensive rebounding team, snatching 34.3 percent of their own misses last season. New Mexico State made more than 50 percent of two-point attempts a year ago, and opponents shot just 31.8 percent from three-point range against the Aggies a season ago. With Davidson struggling to force turnovers, New Mexico State can also play freely and effectively on offense.

Now, it has set its sights on Davidson vs. New Mexico State. We can tell you the model is leaning over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any college basketball picks.

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