The Dallas Cowboys (11-4) will try to keep their slim chances for a division title alive as they kick off Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season against the slumping Tennessee Titans (7-8) on Thursday Night Football. Dallas posted a 40-34 home victory against Philadelphia on Saturday to climb within two games of the first-place Eagles in the NFC East with two remaining. The Titans suffered their fifth straight loss in Week 16, a 19-14 home setback against Houston that dropped them into a first-place tie with Jacksonville in the AFC South. Running backs Derrick Henry (doubtful, hip) and Tony Pollard (thigh) will both reportedly sit.

Kickoff at Nissan Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Dallas is a 14-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Titans odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before making any Titans vs. Cowboys picks of your own, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 158-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows Dallas has won seven of its last nine contests, with both losses coming in overtime on the road. The Cowboys have scored an average of 36 points during that nine-game span while allowing 22.8 per contest. Dak Prescott has thrown three touchdown passes in three of his last four games and is coming off his first 300-yard performance of the season.

The model also knows Tennessee has lost three straight home contests and been held to fewer than 17 points four times during its losing streak. Rookie quarterback Malik Willis made his third start of the season in last Saturday's defeat and threw a pair of interceptions while completing only 14-of-23 attempts for 99 yards.

Now, the model has set its sights on Cowboys vs. Titans on Thursday Night Football. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Cowboys vs. Titans on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes more than 50% of the time? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Titans vs. Cowboys spread to back, all from the model that's an amazing 158-113 on NFL picks!