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Cowboys vs Falcons prediction, props, odds: Top-rated NFL expert reveals player prop bet picks for Week 10

R.J. White has just revealed his NFL prop bet picks for Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys

By@SportsLinePublished: Nov 14, 2021 5:35PM UTC . 5 min read
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Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys (6-2) host Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons (4-4) in a key Week 10 NFL game on Sunday, November 14 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. The Cowboys are nine-point favorites in the latest Cowboys vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 54.5 points. In addition to the Falcons vs Cowboys point spread and standard Week 10 NFL betting lines, Caesars is also offering a plethora of prop bet options for this highly intriguing NFC matchup, and SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has just revealed his top plays.

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White, a CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. He also enters Week 9 as SportsLine's No. 4 rated NFL expert, going 46-35-1 (+735) on his last 82 NFL ATS picks. It's no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest. Anyone who has followed his picks has seen HUGE returns.

You can see all of White's expert NFL picks and analysis HERE.

Now, White has locked in on Cowboys vs. Falcons and just revealed his top three prop bet picks for this Week 10 NFL matchup.

Dak Prescott Under 25.5 completions (-130)

"The Falcons have a below average pass defense, ranking middle of the pack in things like net yards per pass attempt, but giving up an awful 17:3 TD:INT ratio through the air. But teams are able to move the ball against the Atlanta defense without having to complete a ton of passes, as Atlanta allows fewer than 24 completions per game. Prescott typically doesn't complete a ton of passes either despite his good overall numbers, and he's topped this total just twice this season, in shootouts with the Bucs and Pats. Maybe this game goes in a similar direction, but if Tyron Smith is limited or missing again this week, the Cowboys would be wise to run the ball a lot more provided they don't get down big early. To me, this shapes up similar to wins over the Eagles and Giants, where Prescott's completions were in the low 20s even with the Cowboys scoring 40-plus points."

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Matt Ryan Over 1.5 passing TDs (-160)

"Ryan has thrown at least two touchdowns in every game but the loss to Carolina since Week 2. There's no reason to expect the Cowboys defense to put up resistance similar to the Panthers, especially after losing one of their top two pass rushers to the IR in Randy Gregory. Once Ryan gets to the red zone, it's a good bet any touchdowns will happen through the air, as the team has only managed four rush TDs on the season. And the Falcons stand a good chance of converting those red zone trips into touchdowns, with Dallas ranking just 25th in red zone success rate on defense. As this game has a high total of 54.5, I think we can reasonably expect multiple end zone trips for Atlanta, and that typically means Matt Ryan passing touchdowns."

Tajae Sharpe Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115)

"Sharpe has been the main beneficiary of playing time with Calvin Ridley unavailable, seeing at least 68% of the offensive snaps three times in Atlanta's last four games and reaching 80% of the snaps twice during that stretch. That includes last week, where he was on the field 80% of the time but only saw one target despite Matt Ryan throwing 30 times. He had at least five targets and 50 receiving yards in those other games with high usage, and I believe that's what we should typically expect if he's going to play 80% of the snaps. Expect Dallas to treat Kyle Pitts as the player to focus on taking away in the passing game, while Sharpe should be able to get some easy plays to shoot past this number."

Looking for the best picks against the spread, sharp plays on the total, and props you can take straight to the pay window? Join Jonathan Coachman on the Early Edge as he speaks with SportsLine's top handicappers to preview the day's biggest games. We promise to keep it short, sweet and to put some green in your pocket. Early Edge is in your feed every single day by 11 a.m. ET. Subscribe right here on YouTube to watch daily, plus don't miss the Early Edge specials and live shows!

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