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Cowboys vs. Commanders odds, line, spread: Proven model reveals NFL picks, predictions for Week 4, 2022

The SportsLine projection model simulated Washington vs. Dallas and released its picks, predictions and best bets

By@SportsLineUpdated: Oct 02, 2022 1:07PM UTC . 2 min read

A battle between NFC East rivals is on tap when the Dallas Cowboys and the Washington Commanders square off at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at AT&T Stadium. Dallas is 2-1 overall and 1-1 at home, while Washington is 1-2 overall and 0-1 on the road. Dallas, led by Cooper Rush, CeeDee Lamb and a stifling defense, is coming off an impressive 23-16 win over the New York Giants on Monday Night Football, while Carson Wentz and the Commanders are looking to bounce back from a 24-8 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. 

Dallas is favored by 3 points in the latest Cowboys vs. Commanders odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 41.5. Before you make any Commanders vs. Cowboys picks or predictions, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, it has simulated Cowboys vs. Commanders 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You absolutely need to see it before locking in your own picks.

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