Cowboys vs. Commanders line, odds: Proven model releases spread pick for 2025 NFL Week 17 matchup on Christmas Day

NFC East rivals looking to finish out disappointing seasons meet when the Dallas Cowboys take on the Washington Commanders on Christmas Day. Dallas is coming off a 34-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, while Washington dropped a 29-18 decision to the Philadelphia Eagles on Saturday. The Cowboys (6-8-1), who have lost three in a row, are 2-5 on the road this season. The Commanders (4-11), who have lost nine of 10, are 2-5 on their home field. Josh Johnson will start at quarterback for Washington with Marcus Mariota (hand/quad) out, while Chris Rodriguez Jr., Laremy Tunsil and Daron Payne are all inactive for the Commanders.

Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Cowboys lead the all-time series 80-49-2, including wins in four of the last five meetings. The Cowboys are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Cowboys vs. Commanders odds, after opening as 7-point favorites before Mariota was declared out. Meanwhile, the over/under for total points scored is 50.5.

Before making any Cowboys vs. Commanders picks, you NEED to see which side the proven SportsLine projection model is on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 17 on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!

Now, the model has locked in another confident pick for Cowboys vs. Commanders.

We can tell you it's leaning Over the point total, but also says that one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time! You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see which side to back before locking in any picks of your own.

So who wins Cowboys vs. Commanders in NFL Week 17, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? ... Join SportsLine RIGHT NOW to see which side of the line to back, all from the model that has gone 53-37 on top-rated picks since 2024!

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