Computer simulates the Patriots' season 10,000 times

SportsLine's advanced computer has simulated the entire 2018 NFL season 10,000 times to come up with projected wins, division and playoffs odds for every team in the AFC East.

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Here's a look at what the computer is calling for in the 2018 AFC East:

New England Patriots:

Projected wins: 11.7
Division win percentage: 93.9
Postseason percentage: 96.9

Buffalo Bills:

Projected wins: 6.6
Division win percentage: 2.4
Postseason percentage: 11.6

Miami Dolphins:

Projected wins: 6.4
Division win percentage: 2.0
Postseason percentage: 10.2

New York Jets:

Projected wins: 6.0
Division win percentage: 1.7
Postseason percentage: 7.2

Division preview: Tom Brady and Gronk won't play forever, but the Patriots have them back in the mix for 2018, and the simulations overwhelmingly point to another division title for New England, even an offseason that included plenty of uncertainty and changes on both sides of the ball.

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Their 93.9 percent chance of winning the division easily makes them the heaviest favorite in the league. For comparison sake, Philadelphia, at 75.3 percent in the NFC East, is the next highest. 

After sneaking into the postseason in 2017 as a wild card, Buffalo gets little respect from this year's simulation, barely topping a 10 percent chance to return to the playoffs and falling from nine to 6.6 projected wins. Running back LeSean McCoy isn't getting any younger, and off-the-field issues could come into play as well. He and the Bills have expressed optimism that he'll play in 2018 despite allegations of his possible involvement in a home invasion that left his former girlfriend injured. 

The defense in Buffalo should be solid, but it's a rebuilding job at quarterback with first-round pick Josh Allen and free agent acquisition AJ McCarron taking on Nathan Peterman to start under center. Allen is destined to be the long-term solution, but none are sure-fire bets for 2018. 

Quarterback instability extends throughout the rest of the division as well. After a one-year cameo from Jay Cutler, Miami turns back to Ryan Tannehill, while the Jets will juggle the trio of Josh McCown, Sam Darnold and Teddy Bridgewater.

The model doesn't give any team outside of New England more than a three percent chance of taking the division, and paints Miami, Buffalo and New York as long shots, at best, to crack the postseason. Buffalo's surprising wild-card run last year is a reminder that even a mediocre team can steal a playoff berth at times, but the numbers point to the East being a one-playoff team division in 2018.