Two teams looking to rebound from disappointing losses will kick off Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season when the Washington Commanders (2-2) host the Chicago Bears (0-4) on Thursday Night Football. Washington is coming off its second straight defeat, a 34-31 overtime setback at Philadelphia in which it owned a 10-point lead in the second quarter. Chicago saw its franchise-record losing streak reach 14 games after it dropped a 31-28 home decision to Denver after squandering a 21-point advantage in the second half.

Kickoff at FedExField in Landover, Md. is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Washington is a six-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Bears odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Bears vs. Commanders picks of your own, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows Washington gave the undefeated Eagles all they could handle last week, building a double-digit lead in the first half and erasing a pair of deficits in the fourth quarter. The Commanders forced overtime when Sam Howell threw a 10-yard touchdown pass to Jahan Dotson on the final play of regulation. Howell racked up 290 passing yards without an interception.

The model also knows Chicago was on its way to its first victory since Week 7 of last season after it possessed a 28-7 lead over the Broncos late in the third quarter before collapsing. Justin Fields, who threw for only 99 yards against Kansas City the previous week, set career-highs with 335 yards and four TD passes. The 24-year-old quarterback completed his first 16 pass attempts of the game, the longest streak at any point of a game in team history.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in almost 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Commanders vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes almost 60% of the time? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Commanders spread to back, all from the model that's an amazing 168-118 on NFL picks!