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Clippers vs. Suns line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Game 1 playoff showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Sunday's Game 1 matchup between the L.A. Clippers and the Phoenix Suns

By@SportsLinePublished: Apr 16, 2023 9:53PM UTC . 2 min read

The Phoenix Suns and L.A. Clippers square off in Game 1 of a best-of-seven first round series at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday. Phoenix is favored by 7.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 225 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Before making any Clippers vs. Suns picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the 2023 NBA Play-in Tournament a stunning 71-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Clippers are 33-19 when Kawhi Leonard plays this season. That includes a strong +6.1 net rating when Leonard is on the court, and L.A. is 10-4 in the last 14 games when he is in uniform. The Clippers are also prolific from 3-point range, making more than 38% of long-range offerings, and L.A. is versatile and potent on the defensive end. 

The model also knows the Suns have a +5.1 net rating at home this season, while the Clippers have a negative point differential on the road. Phoenix is also holding opponents to just 46.6% shooting on defense this season, and the Suns are 8-0 with Kevin Durant on the floor, out-scoring opponents by 11.0 points per game.

Now, it has set its sights on Clippers vs. Suns. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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