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Clippers vs. Heat line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Thursday showdown

SportsLine's projection model generated selections for Thursday's matchup between the L.A. Clippers and the Miami Heat

By@SportsLinePublished: Dec 08, 2022 10:26PM UTC . 2 min read

The Miami Heat host the L.A. Clippers for a prime-time showdown between prominent franchises at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Miami is favored by 6 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 212.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Clippers vs. Heat picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 111-70 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Clippers are stellar on defense. L.A. is in the top five of the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up fewer than 1.1 points per possession. The Clippers are in the top five in field goal percentage and free throw prevention, with top-10 marks in 2-point accuracy allowed, 3-point accuracy allowed, and points allowed in the paint. 

The model also knows Miami is leading the NBA in free throw prevention (19.2 attempts per game) and points allowed in the paint (45.4 per game). The Heat are above-average in overall defensive efficiency and are creating 16.0 turnovers per game. Miami produces 7.6 steals per game, with top-10 marks in defensive rebound rate, second-chance points allowed, and fast break points allowed.

Now, it has set its sights on Clippers vs. Heat. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

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