The Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos for an AFC West showdown on Thursday Night Football at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs (4-1) lead the AFC West by 1.5 games over the Chargers (2-2) and are tied with the Dolphins for the best record in the AFC. The Broncos (1-4) sit at the bottom of the AFC West and are tied with the Patriots for the worst record in the conference. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury.

Kansas City is a 10.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 47. Before you make any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks or Thursday Night Football predictions, you NEED to see which side Matthew Severance is on. 

Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. In Major League Baseball, since the start of the 2021 season, Matt is up $2,840 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,504. And over the past three college basketball seasons, Matt is up $2,704. He is also an insane 16-5 on his last 21 picks involving the Broncos! Anyone who has followed him is WAY UP!

Severance knows that the Patrick Mahomes excels against teams that are below .500. The two-time NFL MVP is 24-0 in his career against teams that enter the matchup against Kansas City multiple games below .500. That's the longest such win streak by any quarterback since 1970.

Severance also has taken into account that quarterback Russell Wilson is having a solid season for Denver. The Super Bowl-winning quarterback has 11 touchdown passes against just two interceptions this year and owns a passer rating of 106.1, which ranks fourth in the league.

Now, Severance has locked in another confident against the spread pick for Chiefs vs. Broncos. We can tell you he is leaning Over the total and knows a crucial X-factor that makes one side of the spread a MUST-BACK! You ABSOLUTELY need to see what it is before locking in any picks of your own.

Who wins Broncos vs. Chiefs on Thursday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? ... Join SportsLine right now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Broncos spread to jump on, all from the Denver expert who's an outstanding 16-5 on picks involving the Broncos!